Coast to Coast Tickets
Buy baseball tickets, MLB playoffs tickets, and World Series tickets from Coast to Coast for the best seats, including premium New York Yankees tickets, Boston Red Sox tickets and Chicago Cubs tickets. Our game selection includes everything from St. Louis Cardinals tickets to Houston Astros tickets and Dodgers tickets online!

Tell us we're wrong:

  • Email John
  • Email Curt

  • Go Home

    The Greg Maddux Watch: Stunning at 355

    Required Reading
    Whats wrong with baseball? Part I
    Part II
    Part III
    Get a registration


    Check out the Armchair GM!

    General Baseball Links
    Baseball Prospectus
    The Rumor Mill
    Hardball Times
    Retrosheet (Box Scores)
    Diamond Mind
    Baseball Truth
    Japanese Baseball

    Statistical Links
    ESPN: MLB Stats
    MLB & Minor League Stats
    More MLB & ML Stats
    2000-2003 UZR
    2003 Win Shares
    Updated Minor Lg. Stats
    Review of Online Stats
    Hardball Times Stats

    Contract Info
    Dugout Dollars
    Baseball Roster Central

    Your Team's Daily Fix
    AL East
    Red Sox Haven
    Replacement Level Yankees
    Batter's Box (TOR)
    YaGottaBelieve (TB)
    AL Central
    ChiSox Daily
    Tiger Blog
    Twins Geek
    Royals Baseball
    AL West
    Elephant's in Oakland
    Pearly Gates (Angels)
    U.S.S. Mariner
    NL East
    Phillies Fan
    No Joy in Metsville
    NL Central
    The Cubdom
    Redbird Nation
    Red Reporter
    NL West
    Dodger Thoughts
    Only Baseball Matters (SF)
    Ducksnorts (Padres)

    Other Sports Blogs
    Detroit Sports
    Baseball Musings
    14 Days of Ambivalence
    Cubs Now!
    Cubs Blog Army
    College Basketball
    Sportscenter Blog
    The Baseball Addict
    All Baseball Blogs

    Suggest Yours

    Fantasy Baseball Advice
    Fantasy Baseball
    ESPN Fantasy Baseball
    Fantasy Baseball Cafe

    03/01/2004 - 04/01/2004 04/01/2004 - 05/01/2004 05/01/2004 - 06/01/2004 06/01/2004 - 07/01/2004 07/01/2004 - 08/01/2004 08/01/2004 - 09/01/2004 09/01/2004 - 10/01/2004 10/01/2004 - 11/01/2004 11/01/2004 - 12/01/2004 12/01/2004 - 01/01/2005 01/01/2005 - 02/01/2005 02/01/2005 - 03/01/2005 03/01/2005 - 04/01/2005 04/01/2005 - 05/01/2005 11/01/2005 - 12/01/2005 12/01/2005 - 01/01/2006 02/01/2006 - 03/01/2006 12/01/2006 - 01/01/2007 01/01/2008 - 02/01/2008 06/01/2008 - 07/01/2008 01/01/2009 - 02/01/2009 08/01/2010 - 09/01/2010

    Weblog Commenting and Trackback by HaloScan.com
    Powered by Blogger Listed on Blogwise

    Baseball Told the Right Way
    In-depth Baseball analysis on various topics regarding the sport we all love!

      Small sample size?
    Rick Peterson, current Mets and former A's pitching coach, is one of the important baseball guys who largely flys under the radar. In 1998, Peterson took over the AL worst A's pitching staff and quickly turned it around. From 1998 to 2003 A's pitchers ranked 9th, 3rd, 3rd, 2nd, 1st, 1st in the AL. Notice any kind of a trend there?

    Obviously, a lot of that success is due to the arrival of the big three: Hudson, Mulder, and Zito, but Peterson deserves much of the credit for developing and more importantly keeping young pitchers healthy (are you listening Dusty?). Another important point: in addition to the influx of young talent, Peterson has helped quite a few journeymen and underacheivers put together solid seasons. Guys like Mike Neu, Bobby Taylor, John Halama, Gil Heredia, Tim Worrell, Jason Isringhausen, Jeff Tam, Jim Mecir, Corey Lidle, Eric Hiljus, Aaron Harang, and Chad Bradford have all emerged from obscurity, or had their best seasons under Peterson. I understand, there is at least a little bit of a ballpark effect at work, but there really isn't a whole lot of talent on that list.

    Now Peterson is gone to the Mets for the 2004 season. Think its going to have an effect on their pitching staff, which gave up 4.68 runs/game and ranked 10th in the NL last year? Well so far it has. Mets pitchers currently rank 1st in the NL with 3.90 runs/game. What about the Peterson-less A's? Well as already mentioned, the A's ranked 1st in the AL in 2003 with 3.97 runs/game. In 2004, they have already fallen to 5th at 4.97 runs/game. I was skeptical at first, but this is starting to look like too much of a coincidince.

    I know it is still real early and the sample sizes are small, but that's almost a run difference for both squads, there has to be some reason. Instead of looking at the pitchers who have come and gone for both teams, lets look at the pitchers who have worked under Peterson, and compare their performance to how they fared without Peterson. Below is a list of the 10 innings leaders for the 2003 A's and 2004 Mets, both under Peterson. I compared those numbers with how they did either last year (Mets) or this year (A's) without Peterson.
             w/Peterson   w/o/Peterson           w/o/Peterson    w/Peterson

    Zito 3.30 231.7 6.17 35.0 Glavine 4.52 183.3 1.85 39.0
    Hudson 2.70 240.0 3.53 43.3 Traschel 3.78 204.7 3.79 38.0
    Lilly 4.34 178.3 4.99 30.7 Leiter 3.99 180.7 1.65 27.3
    Mulder 3.13 186.7 4.12 39.3 Seo 3.82 188.3 4.91 25.7
    Harden 4.46 74.7 4.37 22.7 Yates 0.00 0 5.40 23.3
    Foulke 2.08 86.7 0.53 17.0 Stanton 4.57 45.3 3.68 14.7
    Bradford 3.04 77.0 7.71 9.3 Weathers 3.03 87.7 3.68 14.7
    Rincon 3.25 55.3 3.68 7.3 Wheeler 3.71 51.0 3.46 13.0
    Neu 3.64 42.0 0.00 0 Looper 3.68 80.7 0.00 12.3
    Halama 4.22 108.7 2.31 11.7 Moreno 7.88 8.0 4.63 11.7
    Totals 3.37 1281.0 4.24 216.3 Totals 3.95 1029.7 3.28 219.7
    Overall, ptichers have done significantly better under Peterson. Out of the A's, 5 are doing noticably worse, 2 are doing noticably better, and 2 are doing about the same. Now obviously Zito's numbers are likely to improve. But given all these trends can we be so sure that Mulder and Hudson's will? I think they will, but we'll have to wait to find out.

    Out of the Mets, 4 pitchers have noticably improved (not counting Moreno), 1 has gotten worse, and 2 are about the same. Glavine, Leiter, and Looper have been unconcious so far. They'll certainly come back down to earth, but can we even be so sure that they won't pitch like Mulder, Hudson, and Foulke last year? Sample size is certainly an issue, roughly 220 innings is not enough to make a determination, but there is a lot of preliminary evidence suggesting Rick Peterson is having a larger effect on his staff's performance than he is getting credit for. It will be interesting to take a look at this once the whole season is in the book.

    If it turns out that by season's end, there is this large of an effect, I think I will take a good look at other highly regarded pitching coaches to see if they measure up to Peterson, guys like Leo Mazzone, Dave Duncan, or Joe Kerrigan.

    Note: As I was writing this, four Mets pitchers combined to hold San Francisco to only 1 run in 11 innings, while Harden has given up 4 runs to the Yankees through 5, so you can tack a little more evidence onto those numbers up there.